The short term GMMA moved well above the upper edge of the long term GMMA and developed a steady separation. The index is also showing a developing good separation between the long term and short term GMMA. This steady separation is characteristic of a sustainable longer term uptrend.
Investors watched for a sustained close above the upper edge of the consolidation band near 3,140 and this developed in the past week after a successful retest of the 3140 level as a support level.
There are three resistance features in the index are used to set the upside targets for the uptrend continuation.
The first resistance feature is the weak shoulder support that developed near 3,230 around Dec. 12, 2016. At this time the index tested the long term uptrend line as a support level. On Dec. 12, the index dropped quickly below the trend line. The current index rise may encounter temporary resistance near this 3,230 level with a consolidation pattern.
The second resistance feature is the previous Index high near 3,280 in November 2016. This is a psychological resistance level so investors again expect some consolidation to develop in this area.
The third resistance feature is the long term uptrend line that defines the development of the trend in the Shanghai index. The uptrend rally can continue to move upwards using the uptrend line as a resistance feature. The current value is near 3,380.
Daryl Guppy is a trader and author of Trend Trading, The 36 Strategies of the Chinese for Financial Traders, which can be found at www.guppytraders.com. He is a regular guest on CNBC Asia Squawk Box. He is a speaker at trading conferences in China, Asia, Australia and Europe. He is a special consultant to AxiCorp.
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